The U.S. dollar rose broadly on Friday as U.S. job growth surged in August, but investors remained jittery about a possible escalation of the U.S.-Chinese trade conflict as U.S. President Donald Trump threatened China with more tariffs.
U.S. job growth accelerated in August and wages increased the most annually in more than nine years, the U.S. Labor Department reported, offering the clearest signs yet that the economy has so far weathered the Trump administration’s escalating trade war with China.
“This is a solid report,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist, Moody’s Analytics, in West Chester, Pennsylvania.
Strengthening wage growth underscores tight labour market conditions and cements the likelihood of a third interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve this year when policymakers meet on Sept. 25-26.
The Federal Reserve should keep raising U.S. interest rates in light of Friday’s strong jobs report, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said on Friday.
“Today we are seeing the knee-jerk reaction as far as the dollar to just move on rate differentials and the bond market move,” said Steven Englander, global head of G10 FX research, Standard Chartered Bank, in New York.
U.S. benchmark Treasury yields rose on Friday to their highest in almost a month.
The dollar’s near-term path would be dictated by steps the Trump administration takes on trade tariffs, analysts said.
President Trump warned on Friday that he has tariffs ready to go on $267 billion worth of Chinese imports in addition to the $200 billion of the Asian nation’s goods already facing the risk of duties.
“The current environment favours the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, if the trade war rhetoric continues and we see the materialization of the $200 billion in tariffs on Chinese goods,” said Alfonso Esparza, senior currency analyst at OANDA in Toronto.
The Australian dollar skidded to more than 2-1/2-year low following weak home loan data and as trade-related tensions continued to pressure commodity-linked currencies. The New Zealand dollar slipped to its lowest against the dollar since February 2016.
Sterling briefly rose to a one-week high on news European Union negotiator Michel Barnier told British lawmakers earlier this month that he wanted to discuss with the UK how to solve the Irish border problem, a major issue in Britain’s withdrawal from the EU. The British currency, however, surrendered those gains to trade little changed on the day. (Reuters)